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Crown Green Handicap

Michelle Caffin

Team: Pensby BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

783

Current Handicap

10
Honours
Season:

75

Matches Played

38

Wins

37

Losses

51%

Win Rate

8.1

Avg Win Margin

7.4

Avg Loss Margin

16-16

Home Record

22-21

Away Record

100%

Handicap Confidence

Very Reliable
39 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 7/3/2026

A large recent sample: 39 matches in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window, comfortably past the 39-match benchmark for full confidence. The handicap is stable and only shifts as form changes.

Milestones

Career

Hot Streak 15

16 in a row

Next goal: 50 Wins38/50
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 75 matches

+10 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

29 Apr4 Jul5 May3 Jul3 May5 Aug27 Jun1 May3 Jul-14916

Gives 10 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current10
Win Percentage(40%)
67%
score+0.33→contribution+0.13
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
8.8
score+0.14→contribution+0.04
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
9.0
score-0.17→contribution-0.02
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
50%
score+0.00→contribution+0.00
Opponent Strength(10%)
742
score+0.05→contribution+0.01
Weighted Score+0.149
Sample Size Confidence
100%(39/39 matches)
Rating1074 → shrunk 1074→ adjusted 789
Recent 3-Season Rating (2024, 2025, 2026)774
Recency Blend40% (39 recent matches)
Final Rating783
Handicap
10

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

38W37L75 matches·50.7% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Pensby B2022–2026League 342251759.5%
Pensby2023–2026League 1, League 3, League 233132039.4%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
7/3/2026Eileen HumeA21-7WIN+14LeagueLeague 3
6/26/2026Owen DoyleA6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 1
6/19/2026Andy PritchardH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
6/15/2026Eddie CharltonA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 3
6/8/2026Carole WhyteA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/5/2026Derek MycockH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
5/29/2026Jane HickmanH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
5/22/2026Alan OxtonA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
5/18/2026Philip JacksonA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
5/1/2026Dave HillA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2026Dave AstleA5-21LOSS-16LeagueLeague 1
4/20/2026Darren HallA14-21LOSS-7LeagueLeague 3
8/22/2025Jane HickmanH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
8/18/2025Trevor SmithA11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
8/4/2025Summer HenningH21-3WIN+18LeagueLeague 3
7/25/2025Bill ClaytonA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
7/7/2025Terry ScottA15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
7/4/2025Lyn NevinH21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
6/27/2025Gail LawsonA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/20/2025vs Port Sunlight Village & Works BH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
6/13/2025Alan GreenA21-18WIN+3LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2025Roderick PrinceH21-8WIN+13LeagueLeague 3
6/6/2025Elaine HoweA21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2025Roy BiggsH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
5/9/2025Pauline HerseeA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
5/2/2025Sue TilstonH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
4/25/2025Patricia CromptonA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
8/12/2024Liam HowardA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
8/5/2024Roy BiggsH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
7/26/2024Steve CharmleyH21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
7/19/2024Stephen DaviesA21-5WIN+16LeagueLeague 3
7/5/2024Gale Formston-wrightA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
6/28/2024Derek PotterH21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2024Alan SimpsonA21-10WIN+11LeagueLeague 3
6/21/2024vs Great MeolsA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/14/2024Eric JamesH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
5/17/2024Derek BramellA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
5/3/2024Robert HolmesH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2024Lynn BaileyH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
8/11/2023Zoe StrattonA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 2
8/4/2023Chris KissackA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
7/31/2023vs Gladstone BH21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 2
7/24/2023Keith TullyA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
7/21/2023Kye GormanH17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 2
7/17/2023vs Oxton Conservative ClubA13-21LOSS-8LeagueLeague 2
7/7/2023Brian LawrenceH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 2
7/3/2023vs AlbanyH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
6/30/2023Jake McelnayA2-21LOSS-19LeagueLeague 2
6/12/2023vs Hoylake Central & Melrose BA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
6/9/2023Fiona YardleyH18-21LOSS-3LeagueLeague 2
6/2/2023Alan HughesA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
5/26/2023John MountfordH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 2
5/22/2023Brian FrancisH20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
5/19/2023Phil BlackA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
5/12/2023Christopher WoodA20-21LOSS-1LeagueLeague 2
5/5/2023Anthony WoodH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 2
4/28/2023Mike PillingA16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 2
4/21/2023Lorraine WatkinsH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 2
8/19/2022Stephen WheeldonH21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
8/15/2022vs Thingwall BA21-19WIN+2LeagueLeague 3
8/8/2022vs PoultonH11-21LOSS-10LeagueLeague 3
8/1/2022vs New Brighton Quarry Vikings DA21-16WIN+5LeagueLeague 3
7/29/2022Carol EvansA7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
7/15/2022Diane BibbyA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
7/4/2022Jim BlackwoodA17-21LOSS-4LeagueLeague 3
7/1/2022Robert HolmesH21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
6/24/2022Alan WelchA21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
6/17/2022Peter FishwickH16-21LOSS-5LeagueLeague 3
6/10/2022Carol WyburnA21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
6/6/2022Paul DraperH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
5/30/2022vs Bromborough PoolH6-21LOSS-15LeagueLeague 3
5/27/2022Linda BiggsA10-21LOSS-11LeagueLeague 3
5/6/2022Brian MoranA19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
4/29/2022John SheenA21-17WIN+4LeagueLeague 3
4/22/2022Geoff BurnsH19-21LOSS-2LeagueLeague 3
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl7 games · 2W
20261 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundAlan JonesWest Kirby Victoria12-21LOSSLOST
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundSummer HenningGreat Meols21-15WINLOST
20242 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundSteve TelfordTixall8-21LOSSWON
Quarters RoundCalvin GratrixNew Brighton Quarry Vikings11-21LOSSLOST
20232 rounds
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 32 RoundFreda WhalleyAlbany B21-17WINWON
Round of 16 RoundMike DunneAlbany12-21LOSSLOST
20221 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 Round* Geoff BurnsPensby13-21LOSSLOST
Cartwright Cup1 games · 1W
20251 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary RoundJohn McgibbonTixall B21-14WINLOST

Current Streak

1wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

16

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

10

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WLWLW
Last 1060% win rate— steady
WLWLWLLWWW
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Jane Hickman0220%5/29/2026
Roy Biggs202100%5/30/2025
Robert Holmes11250%5/3/2024
Eileen Hume101100%7/3/2026
Owen Doyle0110%6/26/2026
Andy Pritchard101100%6/19/2026
Eddie Charlton0110%6/15/2026
Carole Whyte101100%6/8/2026
Derek Mycock0110%6/5/2026
Alan Oxton101100%5/22/2026
Biggest Win
Summer Henning (+18)8/4/2025
Heaviest Defeat
Jake Mcelnay (-19)6/30/2023
Best Season
202475% · 12 matches
Worst Season
202321% · 19 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
32% → 68%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
75063 known · 12 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
0-20% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
32-2952% win rate

By Division

League 334-20 (63%)
League 24-15 (21%)
League 10-2 (0%)
League 10%
0W·2L·2 played
League 221.1%
4W·15L·19 played
League 363%
34W·20L·54 played

Debut

Apr 22, 2022

Latest

Jul 3, 2026

Seasons Active

5 (4.2 yr span)

Matches / Season

15.0 (75 total)

Seasons

20222023202420252026